Sugar industry position clarified
Any one aware of ground realities governing Pakistan's sugar
industry, at least for the latest past four years at a
stretch, will find the contents simply paradoxical,
discounting readers' right to get facts, instead of writer's
prejudices.
The
Pakistan Sugar Mills Association has, time and again,
categorically stated the problems faced by the sugar industry
and details of parleys held at least four ministerial level
meetings, appearing in media, bear testimony to truth.
Write-up under reference, being inspired by ignorance, compels
the PSMA to come out once more with facts to keep the record
straight.
This note is set in order of providing information on the
latest current season and extend in reverse order to the
preceding three years so as to provide proper insight and in
sound sequence.
During the latest 2003-04 (2002-03) season, national sugar
industry rolled out a record sugar output at 3.997 (3.662)
million tons, up 9.14 per cent, by higher efficiency as can be
seen from processing of 43.468 (41.911) million tons of
sugarcane, up 3.71 per cent and achieving an average sugar
recovery improved to 9.19 (8.74) per cent.
Negating such a fine performance can be sheer ignorance or
mere negligence or poor aptitude or in the worst form getting
carried by prejudices and bias. The PSMA has been releasing
since several years past its two statistical statements
regularly each fortnight, one relating to sugarcane crushing,
production and recovery and second on lifting and stocks held
at a given point of time.
As
of June 15, 2004, sugar lifting was 2.140 (2.006) million
tons, leaving stocks at 1.876 (1.677) million tons. These
figures have invariably been authentic and transparent.
The writer of the article has expressed his unhappiness on
procurement of 500,000 tons of sugar by the Trading
Corporation of Pakistan. This was done after thorough
appraisal of the situation from time to time as such lifting
was staggered in lots of 100,000 tons each in November 2003
and January 2004 and process of 300,000 tons still underway.
It may be noted that sugarcane crushing process terminated by
April 2004. Procurement of this quantity by the TCP has been
after several meetings on joint federal and three provincial
ministerial level with representatives of the sugarcane
farmers organizations and the PSMA. It was not an act in
isolation or unusual.
For the latest four years at a stretch, sugar industry has
been compelled to carry unusually high and rising load of
stocks each. A huge surplus has been blocking its funds and
kept sugar price depressed, inflicting huge losses to the
industry.
Sugar availability, surplus stocks:
* Includes 531,930 tons on processing raw sugar by the
industry.
** Exports by TCP.
In the three years, stocks with the sugar industry doubled,
with highly adverse impact on prices, revenues, liquidity and
extending it eventually to eroding equity. Is it pampering?
The writer seems totally ignorant about rigid regime relating
to cost of sugar production, sharply contrasted by market
mechanism determining sugar sales price. This greatest paradox
appears to be unknown to him.
Can any writer justify his analysis by ignoring facts of
primary consideration and question pragmatic decisions?
Sugarcane support price is fixed by the government, on average
constituting 65 to 77 per cent of the production cost.
Similarly,
wages, utilities and other costs of production process have
been about 16 per cent. Variable costs aggregate to 87 per
cent and this 'minimum' is determined by the government while
the industry has no say in it.
Huge load of unsold stocks, creating oversupply, contrasted by
inelasticity in demand plummeted persistently sugar price like
proverbial nine pins. This can be seen from the following.
Season Average wholesale Price fall
price, Rs/ton Rs./ton
2000-01 24,159 -
2001-02 20,416 3,743
2002-03 18,299 2,117
2003-04 17,099 1,200
Price fetched by the
industry could not cover costs of production and as a result,
sugar industry stands devastated despite its sterling
performance evinced by production trend. Does it mean
pampering of the sugar industry?
The writer is oblivious of the fact, need and justification of
the government of Pakistan to decide support price for sugar
cane, about which the sugar industry has no say.
Sugar industry seeks either free market for both cane and
sugar, or price support for both. It is absolutely
inappropriate to fix price of raw material, leave end-product
free and place them diametrically opposed! Due to this sugar
industry has become oppressed, to say the least.
It is not sugar cane alone that support price is fixed by the
government. Wheat, rice, cotton, oilseeds are other instances.
Assess their marketing and of sugar cane and unfair treatment
being meted to the latter becomes distinct.
Statutorily, sugar industry is required and compelled to
process entire cane crop available. The industry's demand for
flexibility to process sugar cane volume to the extent
producing sugar adequate for domestic demand is yet to receive
consent.
As this is denied, the equity demands to lift surplus sugar by
the authorities and at cost plus basis. Procurement by the TCP
in compliance with the government directive has been by
competitive tender basis, instead of cost plus.
If the writer thinks that to avoid this, the government shall
lift the surplus crop, as it buys similarly support price
based commodities, sugar industry would not oppose such
arrangement!
The
writer does not know that 15 countries of the globe produce
sugar cane and/or sugarbeet and process them into sugar.
Aggregate global output is about at 150 million tons plus.
Of this five to 10 per cent, i.e., seven to 15 million tons
enters international trade circuit. Invariably, each country
manages liberal support in export of sugar. Pakistan cannot be
an exception to applicability of this norm, while ignoring its
adherence for four years has just wrought ruins to the sugar
industry.
It is no secret that the support mechanism in export of
surplus by sugar producing countries is to serve the
agriculturists' interests. The European Community is providing
support as much as the cost of its sugar production.
Foreign trade counter is managed by each country through
import tariff and export incentives. Objecting to it by
singling out sugar just reflects prejudice.
The writer's observation that sugar industry never processed
entire sugar cane crop is correct, as total crop is never
meant for processing. Apart from retaining for seed, leaving
in ratoon, using for juices, part of it also goes for fodder
of animals.
Sugar industry is statutorily required to utilize the crop
made available to it for processing and to ensure its
compliance a separate commissionerate with an act is created
to supervise.
Under-utilization of capacity held by sugar industry is due to
crop size not increasing over the years as could be normally
expected by rising consumption. Sugar cane yield has almost
stayed put for years to an average of 48 tons/hectare, being
one of the lowest among main sugar cane producing countries.
Had dynamics of research and development applied in sugarcane
crop, yield could have been doubled and that would have given
maximum utilization of the capacity and emerging economies of
it could have overcome the problems now being faced.
Expansion in sugar cane processing capacity was carried with
reasonably fair projections. Sugar cane crop yield trailing
behind candid estimations prevented sugar industrial
potentials from a fine flourish. It is not the fault of sugar
industry.
Now look at other side of the coin. Assume, if sugar industry
would not have existed, what would have been the economic
scenario. Import of three million plus tons of sugar @US$
275/ton would cost US$ 825 million and proportionately more by
higher price.
About seven to 15 million tons entering global sugar circuit,
three million tons plus demand from Pakistan alone would have
skid price by at least 20 per cent. So it could be dollar one
billion plus financing in foreign exchange on import of sugar.
Could Pakistan afford it?
Besides this drain in forex on balance of payment, rural
development of the country would have hanged much in balance.
Sugar industry has been ideal for socio-economic surge by its
locational compulsion in farmlands.
Pakistan sugar industry provides employment to 47,000 persons
directly and about a million overall, inclusive wide spread
indirect employment. Value addition of sugar industry at 13
per cent has been the second best within the large scale
manufacturing subsector of Pakistan.
Besides sugar, the industry produces molasses, industrial
alcohol which are exported and earn handsome foreign exchange.
Sugar industry by its strategic placement in rural heartland
is the best suited for development and growth.
Bagasse is used in electricity generation on which sugar
plants operate and are in a position to provide power to
national grid network in winter season when hydel power
generation capacity tends to trim.
Bagasse is also used in making of paper and boards, latter
having multiple uses as packing material. Medium fibre density
wood is also being manufactured by putting into service
improved technology of utilizing bagasse.
The writer in concluding para has been tempted to dish out
figures of return to farmers on cultivating sugarcane and
other crops. This gives the impression that he has been more
knowledgeable than farmers. Each farmer would grow a crop
which is more rewarding. This is as simple as 2+2=4. If this
truth is ignored, ignorance will rule supreme.
Sugar availbaility, surplus
stocks |
|
|
|
|
(in thousand tons) |
Season |
2000-01 |
2001-02 |
2002-03 |
2003-04 |
Opening stock
|
27 |
634 |
637 |
759 |
Sugar
production |
2484 |
3227 |
3684 |
4016 |
Imports
|
1165 |
3 |
8 |
- |
Available
|
3676 |
3913 |
4329 |
4775 |
Consumption |
3042 |
3227 |
3472 |
3600 |
Surplus
|
634 |
637 |
859 |
1175 |
TCP
procurement |
- |
- |
100** |
500 |
Net surplus
with industry |
634 |
637 |
759 |
675 |
Curtesy: The Dawn
|
Pakissan.com;
|