International Poultry Industry Overview
By the USDA FAS - This article provides the
highlights and links to the 2004 USDA FAS Poultry and
Products Annual reports for Argentina, Brazil, Canada,
India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, Saudi
Arabia, South Africa, Republic of, Thailand, Ukraine, United
Arab Emirates and Venezuela.
Argentina
Argentine poultry exports for 2005 are
projected at a record 110,000 metric tons as a result of
good returns, the opening of new markets, good sanitary
conditions, and stronger demand from existing markets. Chile
and Venezuela are markets which are forecast to grow in
2005. Broiler production is also expected to reach a record
high of 1 million metric tons because of the strong export
demand, and a recovery of the domestic consumption.
To read the full report please
click here
Brazil
Brazilian poultry production is expected
to reach another record in 2005 due to continued expansion
in exports and a rebound in domestic production because of
higher employment rate and more disposable income from
consumers. Profit margins are expected to remain firm next
year.
To read the full report please
click here
Canada
On August 18, 2004 the Canadian Food
Inspection Agency lifted all remaining movement restrictions
on birds, bird products and bird by-products in British
Columbia’s Fraser Valley and declared an end to the avian
influenza response operation which began on February 19,
2004. Exports of U.S. poultry meat to Canada were sharply
higher in the first six months of 2004 reflecting the
shortfall in Canadian supplies caused by the avian influenza
crisis in British Columbia. For 2005, Canadian chicken
output is forecast to rebound and show moderate increase
while turkey output is expected to remain flat.
To read the full report please
click here
India
India's CY 2005 broiler production is
forecast to grow by 15 percent to 1.9 million tons due to
greater availability of raw feed materials and increased
demand for poultry meat caused by higher consumer income.
Increasing forward integration in poultry operation, growing
farmer preference for birds with higher dressing yield, and
price stabilization measures initiated by the industry are
also factors supporting production growth, mostly in the
southern and western growing belts.
To read the full report please
click here
Indonesia
Due to the impact of the Avian Influenza
(AI) outbreak in early 2004, combined with high feed costs,
broiler production in 2004 is expected to drop about 15
percent. For 2005, with expectations that feed input prices
will decline, and that the AI problem remains in check,
broiler meat output is forecast to rebound about 8 percent.
To read the full report please
click here
Korea
Korea remains one of the few countries
that maintain a nationwide ban on imports of U.S. fresh and
frozen poultry meat due to avian influenza-related concerns.
Korea is considering lifting the ban on U.S. poultry meat
now that the United States is free of highly pathogenic
avian influenza. Although Brazil may soon be eligible to
export limited quantities of poultry meat to Korea, bans on
other suppliers will encourage importers to turn to the
United States when the ban is lifted.
To read the full report please
click here
Malaysia
The Malaysian poultry scene was faced
with various challenges in the past year from grappling with
the higher production cost of broilers; to keeping the
Malaysian chicken farms free from Avian Influenza; to
dealing with the impact on the poultry export market due to
the discovery of H5N1 virus strain in a village farm. Best
product prospects for US exporters continue to be in
supplying day-old chicks, broiler grandparent stock, frozen
turkey/turkey parts and frozen chicken parts.
To read the full report please
click here
Mexico
Mexico’s poultry industry is forecast to
continue growing during MY 2005 (Jan-Dec), as the trend
toward vertical integration in the chicken industry
continues. Exports of U.S. poultry and poultry products are
forecast to increase as well. Mexico imposed sanitary import
restrictions due to Avian Influenza outbreaks in the United
States. However, these restrictions have been gradually
lifted allowing most U.S. poultry trade to continue
unimpeded.
To read the full report please
click here
Philippines
The Philippine poultry industry is likely
to expand once again this year, fueled mainly by the growing
domestic and regional demand for Philippine chicken meat.
The high cost of feed will, however, continue to be a
limiting factor in the sector's growth. Consumption of
broiler meat is expected to outpace domestic production even
with a temporarily weakened demand for chicken during the
first quarter of 2004 due to Avian Influenza incidents in
most of Asia and parts of Canada and the United States.
Imports of broiler meat are forecast to increase in 2004
mainly as a result of the GRP's special chicken importation
scheme implemented between June-August, 2004.
To read the full report please
click here
Saudi Arabia
The Saudi Ministry of Agriculture
indicated that the country’s total broiler meat production
declined from 525,000 metric tons in 2001 to 467,000 mt in
2002 and 468,000 in 2003 (initial data). Total poultry meat
and products imports are estimated to reach 443,000 metric
tons next year, an increase of two percent compared to this
year’s estimated import level.
To read the full report please
click here
South Africa, Republic of
Broiler production reached 808,000 tons
in 2003 but a small decrease in production is foreseen for
2004. This is mainly due to increased import competition
brought about by the strong SA rand. The exchange rate,
currently about R6.68 to the Dollar after a 2002 average of
R10.52 was recorded, is putting pressure on domestic prices,
which is influencing expansion plans.
To read the full report please
click here
Thailand
The broiler industry is anticipated to
grow slightly in 2005 after being hit by High Pathogenic
Avian Influenza (HPAI) disease in 2004. As a result, exports
and domestic consumption of broiler meat in 2005 will fall
far short of the record high levels reached in 2003.
To read the full report please
click here
Ukraine
Ukraine’s production of poultry products
in 2005 will increase considerably, but the local industry
will not be able to meet domestic demand, which continues to
increase. Demand for poultry imports will persist due to
high red meat prices and falling production of livestock
products. U.S. exporters of frozen poultry are poised to
regain Ukrainian market share because human consumption
continues to increase and industrial processors source U.S.
product. U.S. imports are facing competition from the
European Union and Brazil. Price is often the determining
factor.
To read the full report please
click here
United Arab Emirates
UAE poultry producers face significant
production hurdles that inhibit their ability to capitalize
on opportunities presented in this growing consumer market.
Poultry suppliers are reacting to the unsatisfied market
demand by importing frozen poultry, at record level in 2003
that does not appear to be waning in 2004 despite
health/safety problems internationally.
To read the full report please
click here
Venezuela
Poultry production is expected to
increase in 2004 and 2005 after three years of steep
declines due to political turmoil. The Government of
Venezuela is expected to increase government controlled
imports and distribution of frozen poultry from Brazil to
20,000 tons in 2005. to 20,000 tons in 2005.
To read the full report please
click here
Source: USDA
Foreign Agricultural Service - September 2004
|