(March 13 2004): As required, please find given below the statement of losses (as on February 23, 2004) incurred due to Avian Influenza outbreak, and the uncalled for WHO scare giving rise to media hype:

Rs.(million)

* Mortality Layer: 3.5 million @ Rs.200 700
Broilers - Cost price: Rs.46/- ; Selling price: Rs.20/-per kg

Loss per kg: Rs.26/-
Total loss: 26/- x 2kg = Rs.52/- x 8.32 million 432
Broiler chicks - Cost price: Rs.12/- ; Selling price: Rs.5/-

per chick
Loss per chick: Rs.7/-
Total loss: 7/- x 9 million 63
Layer chicks - Cost price: Rs.22/- ; Selling price: Rs.10/-

per chick
Loss per chick: Rs.12/-
Total loss: 12/- x 12 million 144
Broiler breeders - Salvage value: Rs.40/- ; Selling price:

Rs.20/- per kg)
Loss per kg: Rs.20/-
total loss: 20/- x 4kg x 0.8 million 64
Layer salvage value - Rs.40/- ; Selling price: Rs.15/- per kg

Loss per kg: Rs.25/-
Total loss: 25/- x 1.8kg x 13 million 351
20-weeks' pre-mature culling of approx. 1 million breeders

due to almost no demand of chicks as of mid-January. Loss of recovery: Rs.12/50 per week x 20 weeks x 1 million 250

** Loss on account of increase in cost of production due to lower volumes:

500 million Broilers x 1.75kg x Rs.46/- x 15% direct cost

= 6037 x 30% increase 1,811
Loss on Eggs - Cost price: Rs.700/- per case of 30 dozens ;
Selling price: Rs.400/-
Loss per case: Rs.300/-
Total loss: Rs.300/- per case x 48,600 cases (25 million
eggs x 70%) = 17.5 x 90 days 1,575
5,390
This statement does not take into account the loss of productivity (GDP) nor the loss of profit.

* Loss due to mortality. Rest of the loss incurred was due to

WHO's uncalled for scare

** This increase cost covers increase at Breeder farms, day-old chicks and Broiler growing

With kind regards,

Convenr
PPA Standing Committee on Taxation
FOUNDER CHAIRMAN PAKISTAN POULTRY ASSOCIATION.