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Cotton market outlook remains cheerless      
      
 

KARACHI, March 27: The cotton market passed another dull and cheerless day on Friday when both the buyers and sellers remained glued to the sidelines.

Thus holiday feeling prevailed in the market with thin attendance in the market.

There was general perception that new crop phutti, whose minimum support price has been raised by Rs75 per 40 kg, from Rs850 to Rs925 may lend a bullish tenor to the lint price in the coming weeks.

It remains to be seen how the spinners react to it. They are already reluctant to pay the prevailing price on the ground that it is above their parity level idea.

The step apparently taken to favour the growers who have already made a killing this season by selling phutti at Rs1,650 per 40 kg, in anticipation of heavy crop damage.

But at the losing end will be ginners and spinners. Ginners are under pressure from the spinners to reduce lint prices further because of the bearish world outlook due to excess of supplies over demand but they are resisting the pressure because their cost of production has gone very high because of abnormal hike in phutti price.

No wonder therefore that they are saddled with heavy unsold stocks which if not cleared in time, will force them to face serious resource crunch. They are already under pressure from banks for loan adjustment while growers are forcing them to pay for the phutti sol to them on deferred payment basis.

Thus the higher phutti price may prove to be a double edged sword for them. There are no two opinions now about the size of the domestic crop, which is likely to exceed 10 million bales throwing cold water on the optimism of the ginners about price hike because of shortfall in the crop.

Spinners are taking the cue from the global market where prices are tending downwards because of abundance of supplies. They cannot afford to pay above the export parity of yarn. This explains the present buyer-seller standoff, which is unlikely to end soon.

Official spot rate remained steady at Rs2,975. Ready business stood at 1,000 bales of Rahimyar Khan which were sold at Rs3,000.


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