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Cotton Hedge Invites Strong Resistance        

MULTAN, April 17: The cotton hedge, a by-product of gambling based speculative trading of cotton has invited a strong resistance among three major stakeholders of cash crop include growers, ginners, textile millers and exporters who feared the new form of gambling might be harmful to the small traders and ginners, it is learnt. This vicious circle has completely failed in India in a few months after the establishment in Mumbai while Pakistan’s production is already receiving reduced compared to consumption.

Agriculture economy has already been facing a serious crunch as the crop ending prospects revealed shortfall of 6 Lakh bales from the fixed target of 10.5 million bales and total 9.9 million bales could be produced during Kharif 2003-04. On the other side the lifting of cotton bales by textile mills, exporters is about 5.50 million bales per month which shows that the stocks lying with cotton ginners will be exhausted up to mid of June 2004.

The Karachi Cotton Association, which mostly represents Cotton Exporters and a lobby of speculators who are already active in the Stock Exchange and other commodity market, is supporting the Hedge Trading, observed cotton crop stakeholders. Some vested interests are highlighting the need to open “Cotton Hedge Trading” in the country, they said.Cotton growers, ginners observed the advantage of hedge market is only to 5% of the business community where as about 95% of the business community in cotton shall have all the disadvantages. They explained that in this system some of the people think that once they have sold the cotton bales is Hedge Market there remains no burden left but they were thinking on wrong track.

The idea is not correct because the 90% cotton ginners and 85% small growers having land holding less then 12.5 acres have no financial power to hold the stock in this system of business. The payment of cotton bales is received only when these cotton bales are tendered on the expiry of that Hedge contract and cotton so tendered is found quality wise tender able. Only 5 to 10% cotton ginners in Pakistan have the equity to hold the stock valuing billion of rupees for a period of 4 to 6 months and are able to pay weekly price difference according to Hedge Market changes. In this way ginner will be forced to remain involved in the business for whole of the year where as small growers want to sell has crop within two months. They further said that the Hedge system would create huge shortage of funds because textile mills like to purchase the cotton during 12 months instead of present buying system in 3 months.

Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association Chairman Seth Jethanand Kohistani said the average cotton production is hardly ten million bales while mill consumption is over 12 million bales and in this way there remains no room for export of cotton and the Hedge facility for the cotton exporters. A small quantity of Pakistani cotton as a token may continue to sell abroad but it does not justify the need for “Hedge Trading”, hence, our point of view is that why to introduce speculation and gambling in the cotton trade just for the sake of “outsiders”.

He said at present only one cotton futures market is running successfully in New York, USA but their position is quite different. Their production is about 18 million bales and the consumption only six million bales.

Their growers are also the cotton ginners and exporter, therefore, the growers of America need Hedge facility as they have to market the entire crop by selling forward and they need to cover the risk in the Hedge Market.He feared if cotton Hedge Market is also opened in Pakistan, speculators will dominate it and gamblers who will not hesitate to endanger the entire cotton economy by excessive speculation due to inadequate backing of free supply of cotton. This may result into the disaster of grower, ginners as well as mill owner.

It is again a miserable fact that New York Cotton Future Market has already caused enough instability in our market resulting in huge losses to the cotton ginners this season. Sir, we cannot afford another future market in our country for the disaster of Cotton Trade because the clever elite to the disadvantage of small country ginners binds it to exploit. Even in Bombay the experiment of Hedge Market has failed simply because India is also a net cotton importing country like Pakistan.He sought immediate governments’ intervention in this most sensitive issue and demanded to instruct the Ministry of Commerce and Ministry of Finance not to allow an Un-Islamic way of business and gambling in the cotton trade under the garb of “Hedge Trading”.


By Nadeem Shah                            
Pakissan.com; Advisory Point

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